Colombia’s second round of elections will be held on Sunday without any ceasefires between the military and illegal armed groups.

Guerrilla groups ELN and the Southeastern Bloc did announce a unilateral ceasefire before the first round that was held in May.

Paramilitary organization AGC stayed quiet like they did ahead of the elections held earlier this year.

Fighting between the illegal armed groups and the military or the threat of violence could cause an increase in abstention, which reached a record low in the first round.

Despite the unilateral ceasefires, abstention in the first round was relatively high in provinces where illegal armed groups exercise a lot of control.

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Why Colombia got nervous about violence after elections

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Abstention on May 29

Almost 45% of voters facing violent threat

The independent Electoral Observation Mission said ahead of the first round that illegal armed groups pose a threat to almost 45% of Colombia’s voters.

According to the Ombudsman’s Office, the illegal armed groups pose a high or extreme risk in 290 of Colombia’s approximately 1,100 municipalities.

Ombudsman Carlos Amargo on Thursday additionally expressed his concern about the possibility of protests in the aftermath of the elections.

Ombudsman Carlos Camargo

Electoral risk map

The guerrillas mainly pose a threat in the south and the east of the country while the AGC mainly poses a threat in the northwest of the country.

Ongoing fighting between the ELN and the AGC poses an imminent risk to people living in the Pacific region in the west.

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Colombia’s elections marred by violence and fraud claims

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State response

Defense Minister Diego Molano and Interior Minister Daniel Palacios said Wednesday that the security forces would increase their presence throughout the country.

The ministers specifically mentioned relatively populated areas in the north and northwest of the country.

Migration authorities will close all formal border crossings on Saturday evening.